The 2018 extended range tropical forecast has been released by Colorado State University Department of Atmospheric Science.
As at April 5, the forecast is for slightly above average storm activity for the Atlantic Ocean basin. The current weak La Niña is not expected to transition into a significant El Niño by summer and fall. El Niño conditions create vertical wind shear that inhibits hurricane formation. Without wind shear, the tropical Atlantic is conducive to storm development.
The forecast predicts a slightly above-average probability for major hurricanes making landfall along the continental United States coastline and in the Caribbean.
(full details at http://tropical.colostate.edu)
2018 Forecast numbers: Continue reading “2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Forecast” »